2016 Amateur Draft – June 9th – 11th

The June 9th-11th amateur baseball draft is rapidly approaching. As noted previously, there is all sorts of player information as well as mock drafts available all over the web. Our friends at Purple Row have been covering the top amateur players on at least a weekly basis for some time now. In my opinion, educated Rox fans are really beginning to embrace the rebuild concept and are beginning to follow what’s happening within the Rox Farm. With that in mind, here’s an effort to condense the information as it relates to the Rockies. I vote for keeping all draft related comments in this thread. As always, here are several “primers;”

1. The Rockies have early picks #4, #38, #45, and #81.
2. This has been widely regarded as a “deep” draft for over a year now. Most experts continue to maintain this is indeed the case.
3. Sdcarp’s #1 draft motto is “pick the best player available, regardless of position, with your 1st round pick.” Last year this was an easy concept with only 3 obvious dominant players available and the Rox drafting 3rd. Fortunately, the Rox DID execute this instead of caving to the never ending need for pitching. The pick was Brendon Rodgers. I remain 100% convinced we’ll all be happy with this decision in the coming years.
4. Fast forward to this year – there isn’t an obvious #1. Also, the best guys seem to be distributed over several positions. So drafting “best available” and for “need” might in fact coincide.
5. Because of the depth in this year’s Draft, you’re going to hear the terminology “under-slot” quite a bit. An example of this as it pertains to the Rox might look like selecting Micky Moniak or Corey Ray with the 4th OA pick (slightly higher than where they’re projected to go) and subsequently signing them for less than the MLB “slot” allocation. That saved money can then be used at picks #38 and #45 to sign “over” slot – especially helpful if pick #38 and/or #45 is a HS pitcher that has already signed with a marque college program.
6. If the Rox go offense with the #4 pick, I look for them to go pitching with #38 and #45. I believe the reverse is true as well. If we go pitching at #4 (Pint for example), then look for offense at #38 and #45. Honestly……this year’s #4 pick may be decided by our Scout’s opinions about what will be available at #38 and #45.
Because this year’s pool of talent is deep and balanced, here’s an attempt to “group” the likely top 10 picks (a “bakers” 10 if you will):

Tier 1:
Jason Groome HS LHP
AJ Puk College LHP
Kyle Lewis College RHed OFer – all around hitter w/solid corner OF defense.
Riley Pint HS RHP – the biggest velocity pitcher this year.

UPDATE 06/07/2016 – Jason Groome is falling, Mickey Moniak is rising. Moniak could go to the Phils at #1.

Tier 2:
Mickey Moniak HS RHed OFer – most advanced HS hitter, fastest “riser” in draft.
Nick Senzel College 3B
Delvin Perez HS SS – dynamic 17 year old from Puerto Rico that qualifies for amateur draft

Tier 3:
Corey Ray College OFer – speed based top of the lineup OFer
Zack Collins HS C
Dakota Hudson College RHP
Ian Anderson HS RHP – bit of a sleeper. Advanced HS pitcher with very easy, mechanically correct 92-95 mph velocity.

As noted in a couple of my previous comments on other threads – my personal first choice for the Rox is Kyle Lewis. Unfortunately, I believe he’ll go to either Cincinnati or Atlanta at #2 or #3 OA. I believe Groome will go #1 OA to the Phillies. I really like Groome, Pint, and Moniak. I’m not quite so high on Puk. Let’s see how this progresses between now and June 9th.

UPDATED SDCARP PROJECTIONS:

1. Phils – Moniak
2. Reds – Senzel
3. Braves – Complete wildcard
4. Rockies – Lewis/Pint/Puk (please “no” on Puk)

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rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh
4 years ago

After reading several articles regarding mock draft, I would like to go with Mickey Moniak.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh
4 years ago

I hope we stick with the draft. Keep the momentum going. Seems we’ve done much better with our early picks since a dry spell after the Tulo draft.

sdcarp
sdcarp
4 years ago

Watching the NCAA Regionals this weekend. In terms of top Prospects, nothing big is jumping out at me. AJ Puk had a rough outing. Zack Collins (the Miami catcher that some believe will move to 1B) looks very good at the plate. But for the most part, status quo.

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh
4 years ago

I’m calling Mickey Moniak go to Rockies. If not, go Kyle Lewis. I prefer him over Pint as the odds are better that a bat works out than a pitcher. We can take pitchers later on like we did last year after taking Rodgers.

Agbayani
Agbayani
4 years ago

Carp, thanks for keeping us updated on all things MLB draft. I’ve been reading along but haven’t commented since I don’t really follow college baseball (much less high school!) and I’m not about to start relying on amateur stats as a substitute. So nice work! I read the scouting blurbs on Tyler and Bowden, and again, I’m not going to say “great pick” or “what is Bridich thinking?” since I just don’t know enough, but it does seem likely that… Read more »

Bob K.
Bob K.
4 years ago
Reply to  sdcarp

I would have thought that the Rockies would have had the best chance of signing Wentz since Riley Pint is his best friend. Harold Reynolds has projected Bowden as having the best chance to be in the majors this year as a relief pitcher. Of course that was before the Rockies drafted him. It really isn’t the Rockies modus operandi to bring up a player they just drafted.

Agbayani
Agbayani
4 years ago

From what I’ve seen, they plan to stick with Bowden as a reliever and the righty as a starter. Bowden sounds more like a Rex Brothers type to me, an idea which probably sends shivers down the spines of Rockies fans, but it really shouldn’t — Brothers was pitching at Coors 2 years after he was drafted, and striking out 13 per 9 innings. For a brief moment there he looked like the closer we’ve still never had. He never… Read more »

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