Cards vs. Rox – Will They Know What Hit Them

After a very frustrating Sunday where Tulo near won the gam in the 8th if his line had more vertical drive, the Rox opened their series with the Cardinals, ours after getting the consensus best player in the draft, by destroying the best team in baseball 11-3 (and it felt far worse than that). The Rox have simply been getting great starting pitching of late, with David Hale, who I think we can all agree is in the starting rotation until he either blows up or gets traded, send to the team the guy who is still, all-in-all, the best pitcher they have – Jorge De La Rosa.

 

DLR, the undisputed master of Coors Field, is still trying to get really untracked. Spring Training was essentially nada for Jorge thanks to his groin, and his first start back was, shall we say, Ken Bottenfield bad. But since then he has slowly been rounding into shape (his ERA after that disaster against the Pads, was 31.50. Since the he has gone:

 

5 IP vs SF 4H 2R 1HR 2BB 7K
5IP @SD 5H 3R 0HR 3BB 9K
4IP vs LAD 5H 5R 0HR 6BB 4K
7.1IP @LAD 2H 0R 0HR 0BB 3K
4.1IP v. Phi 6H 3R 1HR 3BB 5K
6IP LAD 4H 3R 1HR 4BB 6K

 

This is now his 7th start and while, as usual, Jorge isn’t perfectly healthy thanks to a cut on his left finger, he should be now the Jorge we know and love. You notice he hasn’t give-up a lot of hits, and he has been decent with the strikeout. But his walks have been what cuts down his innings/outing. He needs to go 6 or 7 every time to save the bullpen, as we know with so many young pitchers (and more coming?), the bullpen has to have a few days to recover.

 

The guys who have hit well against DLR are Holliday (injury status?) .417 in 12AB including 1 HR and SS Peralta with 2 hits in 5AB and a homer.

 

Opposing the Rox is former World Series Wonder-boy Michael Wacha who after a really tough 2014 seems all the way back this year, going already 8-1 with a 2.18 ERA and has been the single most important pitcher in covering for the loss of Adam Wainwright. The Rox have so few AB against Wacha that it doesn’t really matter to show. In 11 starts this year he has gone into the 7th in 7 and gone less than 6 in just 3. I guess if you want to feel good about facing right-hander, its that…he is a 2012 1st Round pick, so maybe we will get some of our former first-round pitchers to Coors soon. What, there aren’t any really good notes. Only twice allowing 4 ER (including on 5/30 vs Dodger) and 9 games with 2ER or less. Dude is on a serious run.

 

Rox enter tonight 6 back of Dodgers but just 4.5 back in the Wild Card, and if they can just start winning some of these agonizingly close games (like in Cinn or both losses vs. the Fish), this team might actually start getting close to .500. Why do I think they are not yet a seller (sorry, can’t just let a post title like that go without a comment) because baseball these days is all about trying to stay in the Wild Card to keep fans coming to the park in August and September, and as long as they are within 7 games of the WC when it turns 4th, this team (which as we know by now, doesn’t like to make trades at the trade deadline anyways) will not be dumping. This really is the most even the NL has been in a long-time, and until one of the second place teams fixes itself (come-on, do you think Giants are riding that group to 90 wins? In an odd year? On Timmy’s fastball), there will be a lot of teams in it. Just remember by mid-April the papers were calling the Yankees perhaps the worst team in baseball. Then they got hot. They still aren’t a good team. I use them to make the point – there are a lot of flawed teams in baseball. The Rox have talent in the farm system that might…key word might…be able to come up in July and August to give the team a burst of power.

Hey, its not even June 10th!

 

[sac_happens]

 

 

 

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rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh
5 years ago

What’s impressive about tonight’s wIn was that the Cards had the best record in baseball when scoring first (26-4). They led 2-0 mid-game

Bill
Bill
5 years ago

Rockies are finally out of last place and have won a home series! Hope they don’t settle for that but I’m guessing Walt’s going to pull out his Sunday lineup tomorrow afternoon. Since they won I’m going to complain a little. I love Arenado and he should be an all-star but if he should have worked that run down play better when the Cards got their first run. As Huson and Corrigan correctly stated force the runner back toward 2nd.… Read more »

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh
5 years ago

This particular wuss beat Wacha, 7 innings. I’m guessing Ed the Ump still thinks he is a wuss

Gary
Gary
5 years ago

But he’s our little smiley shy petulant wuss.

EdtheUmp
EdtheUmp
5 years ago

RMH…
A couple of good starts does not mean he is still not a Pussy.

Gary
Gary
5 years ago

Somewhat lost in the euphoria of the renewed staff and position call ups has been a subtle but very significant line up change.It revolves around moving our all star 2nd basemen into the two hole.He leads the team in ave.and OBP.Thus its like having two lead off men as well as a run producer playing in his own twilight zone.Then Walt moved Tulo to 3rd where he can hit for average and less pressure,Cargo to clean up where he seems… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
5 years ago
Reply to  Gary

330 is a terrible thing to waste in the 8 hole!

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
5 years ago

Today is a National Holiday right? 1:10 PM with Chettis on the hill!

Shockingly – the radar already looks gnarly.

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
5 years ago

Quick revisit to the past Winter/Spring Hot Stove shannanigans: Now that we’re 1/3 into the season and the sample sizes are larger, it’s really looking like my most hated team (the Braves) made out like bandits. They get rid of Heyward for his final ATL season (they weren’t serious about pursing him as a FA) and get all-star Shelby Miller and the other SP kid at AA (name slips my mind). They sell high on Kimbrel, for the Padres to… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
5 years ago
Reply to  sdcarp

Oops – “force the Padres……” Fat fingers and iPads don’t mix well.

Agbayani
Agbayani
5 years ago

(Ducking behind the couch to avoid roxnsox’s missiles) – Have you seen DJ’s BABIP lately? .411. Second (Dee Gordon) in all of baseball. Yes, he is having an excellent season! Yes, it’s worked batting him 2nd! (No, he will not have a .400 + BABIP all season and neither will Dee Gordon)

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh
5 years ago
Reply to  Agbayani

Deej’s retooled swing looks much better than last year. Instead of inside out swing and blooping the ball to the shortened up right fielder, he’s swinging more level and squaring up while occasionally yanking to left side to keep the defense honest. That’s a huge improvement, BABIP or not. BABIP will come down, but not to 2014 level with his new retooled swing.

sdcarp
sdcarp
5 years ago
Reply to  Agbayani

I have….and you are 100% correct. Let’s say from this point forward he has BABIP average of .308 (75% of his current clip. I think this may be a bit harsh. But I’m like you, I do believe in regression to the mean). He’s got 69 hits through 57 games. 105 games remaining. That equals (approximately!) 1.21 hits per game x 105 game x 0.75 BABIP reduction factor = 95 hits. That leaves him at 164 hits for the year.… Read more »

sdcarp
sdcarp
5 years ago
Reply to  sdcarp

Oh shit……………..scrap this analysis. He’s 1 for 1 already today. I’ll give him 169.5 hits for the year.

Julian
Julian
5 years ago

Or DJ’s a gold-glove, solid hitting second baseman who is still not very expensive, and we don’t really have a great immediate replacement (Adames or Ynoa now, Story later if we still have Tulo). I’d keep DJ. Now with CarGo heating up, I’d trade him in a minute. Under Axford’s contract, is he a free agent after this year? What are the odds of our keeping him after this season. If we’re not going anywhere at the trade deadline, the… Read more »

roxnsox
roxnsox
5 years ago

Well, I’m now 0-for-2 on my personal expectation that the Rockies would not SNIFF a single win against the mighty Cardinals.

Nice save(s)! (Oberg and Axford) Poor Boone. Full-on yips at this point?

Love me some Deej 😉

sdcarp
sdcarp
5 years ago
Reply to  roxnsox

The mighty Cards are getting fairly beat-up. They have great organizational depth, but they’re having to replace some solid guys.

sdcarp
sdcarp
5 years ago

Looking around the League at the standings – the unexpected cluster of NYM, Braves, and Nats at the top of the NL East could bode well for the deadline trade market.

sdcarp
sdcarp
5 years ago

Check out this “slash” line (“slash” doesn’t seem like the appropriate word for this!)

.250/.294/.378

Now check out this pitching line:

78.1 IP/1.84 ERA/.983 WHIP/won’t be free agent until 2019.

O-U-C-H

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