Final Four vs. Dodgers in Litmus Test

Colorado took two out of three in each series against Arizona and Chicago.  The record on the current home stand is at 4-2.  Last week I mentioned that the target is a 6-4 home stand with two series win and a split against the Dodgers.  So far so good.  Tonight streaking Los Angeles visit Coors Field for a four-game set.  Tyler Anderson was scratched from tonight’s start due to a slightly twisted knee.  Jeff Hoffman takes his place against Ryu the southpaw coming off the DL.  The corresponding move was placing Trevor Story on the 10-day DL.  It would be a nice break for him to sit back and reset his plan of attack at the plate.  BB has a plethora of options at the shortstop position among Alexi Amarista,  Ian Desmond, and Pat Valaika.

Colorado ran their series record to 8-2-1 with both losses at home vs. the Nationals and Padres.  With a 22-13 record they are still in first place 1.5 games ahead of Los Angeles.  The Rockies take a 16-8 record vs. the NL West teams into tonight’s game.  They are undefeated when leading after six innings as well as one-run games.  The rookie pitchers carried the Rockies to a series win against Chicago Cubs.  The hitters busted out for nine runs (5 earned) against former Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta while Antonio Senzatela went six innings giving up two runs.  He gave way to Chris Rusin, Jake McGee, and Chad Qualls where they combined to give up two more runs in a 10-4 blowout.

The Cubs flipped the table in the nightcap of the day-night split doubleheader winning 8-1.  Kyle Freeland had one bad inning giving up five runs (3 earned) in the second tossing six innings.  Mike Dunn gave up a two-run homer and Hoffman gave up a blast to Kris Bryant, both home runs coming in garbage time.

German Marquez put a stop to a one-game losing streak carrying a no-no through six innings before finishing with eight shutout innings giving up three hits.  He helped himself with a two-run single in the bottom of seventh of Carl Edwards, Jr. to expand the lead to 3-0.  Greg Holland finished the game in a clean fashion for his fourteenth save.

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sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago

Might want to extend your Litmus Test to include the Twins (AL Central leaders) and Reds (in a virtual tie with the Cards for the NL Central lead). Hoffman looked really good. Here’s another sdcarp broken record moment – he looked better than Lyles (who doesn’t?) and Oberg. Get Hoffman and Jairo Diaz in the Pen in place of those two (or Qualls) then you’ve got something. Signs of life from Cargo? I just made a trade offer for him… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago

Typically great FanGraphs article (I promise I dont own stock in FanGraphs!):

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/heres-how-the-rockies-are-winning-the-west/

Agbayani
Agbayani
3 years ago

Really encouraging start from Hoffman. I haven’t been as high on him as some, mostly because his college and minors stats don’t jump out at you. He’s always been more of a “scouts like him/projectable” guy. What’s been missing is mostly his ability to get those swing and miss strikeouts (or those freeze ’em up backward Ks). And all of a sudden they came in his second to last AAA start. And stayed through his first MLB start against a… Read more »

Bob K.
Bob K.
3 years ago

Christian Bergman is getting the start tonight for Seattle at the Blue Jays.

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago

Here’s an idea, for fun. How about Roxwalkoff tweets to the game during broadcast? Whoever tweets for them/it/us? (I haven’t found the need or desire to get literate with Twitter – I only joined/look when there’s a fire or a flood or something in my mountain town. Of which there have been both/a few.) Someone? Anyone? Who can Twit? Or are we too cool for that? 🙂 We are all certainly being quite cool about the AMAZING start for this… Read more »

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago

Cool; what’s your handle?

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago
Reply to  roxnsox

Or is “handle” long outdated, from CB radio days? Haha.

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago

First person to figure out Tyler Chatwood wins a prize. I don’t mean “he pitches well on the road, sucks at home.” That answer gets you sent to the back of the line. RMH – you’ll like this. What is Cargo worth at this instant, in Fantasy Baseball? Well……sensing that the Cargo hot streak is about to begin, I gave up Trevor Rosenthal ($1) and Manuel Margot ($7) for Cargo ($36) and Adam Conley ($1) yesterday, Our trades have to… Read more »

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago

Pretty tired of Drew and Jeff’s unceasing cheerleading, if not obeisance, to Cargo. Give it a rest; we’ll see what he does. That’s all. Live in the present.

Agbayani
Agbayani
3 years ago

Eddie Butler: 6 shutout/2 hit innings for the Cubs! Good for him. In previous years, I’d be upset about this … this year, well, I guess I’dd say he could’ve done Jordan Lyles job …

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago
Reply to  Agbayani

Sometimes people need a change of scenery, in all walks of life, all professions. IMO, the same thing perhaps could have helped Tyler Matzek as well (had it happened earlier in his career).

Bob K.
Bob K.
3 years ago

Ianetta hit in the mouth, fractured teeth and broken nose. From MLBTradeRumors: “Diamondbacks catcher Chris Iannetta took a 93 mph fastball to the face from the Pirates’ Johnny Barbato on Friday, but he’s “doing OK,” according to manager Torey Lovullo (via the Associated Press). Despite suffering a couple fractured teeth and a broken nose, Iannetta is “eager to play,” per Lovullo. However, the team is understandably taking a careful approach with Iannetta and is still deciding whether to place him… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago

I’m trying to limit the “must read” links, but here’s a must read link: http://www.denverpost.com/2017/05/13/rockies-loyal-fan-homeless-lives-abandoned-batting-cage/ I actually hung out with this guy for maybe 30 minutes this Spring. We were on the deep backfields at SRF. Specifically, with Brendan Rogers’ group (mostly the Lancaster guys). It was just he and I. He was giving non-stop swing advice/pointers. I was amazed (and humbled) at what we could see. He’d say something, I’d think “huh,” then next pitch, I’d see it (only… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago

Big, big win today. IMO – biggest win so far in the young season. The Dodgers are good (duh!). Current sdcarp NL Power Rankings: 1. Nats 2. Dodgers 3. Cubs (their SP looks very pedestrian so far) 4/5 – Rockies/Cardinals (tie) There’s a nickname out there for Pat Valaika. My poor brain keeps coming back to the old Cleveland “mistake by the lake.” Perhaps “don’t make a mistake to vaLAIKA.” I dunno……too long. Most people wouldn’t get it. Where’s Pete… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago

BTW gang, I saw this today regarding Tom Murphy (he might be closer to returning than we thought) courtesy of Rotoworld:

“Tests at the beginning of May showed that Murphy’s fractured right wrist was healing slower than expected, but it sounds like he’s made nice progress since then. Black didn’t reveal any hints about when Murphy might be game-ready, however.”

Agbayani
Agbayani
3 years ago

Valaika: Carp, RMH – you saw this coming! Excellent spring training scouting, guys. I’m still scratching my head – where did this come from? – but he’s starting to get really intriguing. Trevor Story, you better start putting things together in that rehab assignment that’s coming soon. By the way, when we were talking about Story maybe being sent down to AAA to fix that swing, we kind of assumed that Amarista or even Desmond would get the starts at… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago
Reply to  Agbayani

What I think we’re seeing – across the board – all positions, is that increased competition created by better level of talent is making the team better, at almost an exponential rate. Trevor Story is watching these games knowing he better do everything in his power to cut his K rate, because if he doesn’t, he won’t play. We’re seeing that in the BP. We’re seeing that with the SPers. You think Gray hasn’t noticed the Club is moving along… Read more »

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago
Reply to  sdcarp

Think young Mr. Story ever heard of Wally Pipp? And what in the world is wrong with Otto?

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago
Reply to  roxnsox

And hey, Pat Valaika is no Gehrig, as far as we know. But the analogy still holds….somewhat…maybe.

Doc
Doc
3 years ago

I noticed Carp, especially how he jerked the ball out of Gophberg’s hand. Sense BB is getting very serious and proving to be even better than I first anticipated; he’s hungry and is instilling a winning attitude. Imagine, a manager who leads and doesn’t just babysit. Love it.

Doc
Doc
3 years ago

What’s up with Desmond? A few weeks ago I sensed he was about to take on an important leadership role but now I wonder if he even wants to be part of this team. Hopefully, he’s just pressing but it looks like–for whatever reason–his heart isn’t in it.

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago
Reply to  Doc

Doc, I think he’s pressing. I’m sure his heart is in it. (And who knows what’s going on in a person’s private life?)

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago

I want to challenge everyone to go back “up” about a dozen comments to my challenge – why does Chatwood have command issues at Coors? RMH took the challenge, and gave a good answer…..but it was really just stating the results, not the “why.” I’ll give him a “C.” Subsequently, he’s texted me with a really solid “B” answer. I’ll give you a hint to my theory. It lies in advanced metrics (Ag will love it….this will be like a… Read more »

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago

You did well Sir. Simplified, Chatty throws some pitches that move ALOT! More than the average ML pitcher. So he has a bigger adjustment to make when he gets back to 5280. That’s the physics. I don’t think it’s a problem per se. He just needs to come out with fastball on the brain for the first couple of innings. Get a feel for things, then adjust to a little less movement (but still plenty) to his off speed stuff… Read more »

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago

Stat gang – educate me on what is a “good” OBP? A poor one, an excellent one? How about explaining to me (again; I’ve heard it but not taken it in) slugging percentage and OPS? And same question about what’s good. Thanks.

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago
Reply to  roxnsox

OBP = 400 excellent OBP = 350 good OBP = less than 300 – bad. A player should have an OBP +/- 60 points higher than their batting avarege. You should expect a guy with a 250 BA to have an OBP of about 310. Essentially, it’s {Hits + Walks}/Plate Appearances. I think HBP counts. Reaching by error does not count. Reaching by Fielders Choice does not count. There’s a few other minor nuances. It’s actually a great stat. In… Read more »

roxnsox
roxnsox
3 years ago
Reply to  sdcarp

Thanks, carp! So you explained OBP? What about slugging percentage and OPS (on base plus slugging, right)?

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago
Reply to  roxnsox

Slugging Percentage is It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats. So it’s heavily weighted to power hitters.

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago
Reply to  sdcarp

450 is a good slugging percentage, 500+ is really good.

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago
Reply to  roxnsox

Correct regarding OPS. 1000 is a great OPS….perhaps League leader.

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago
Reply to  roxnsox

By the way, the exact OBP formula is = (Hits + Walks + Hit by Pitch) / (At Bats + Walks + Hit by Pitch + Sacrifice Flies)

sdcarp
Admin
sdcarp
3 years ago
Reply to  roxnsox

Bottom line Roxnsox – some of these stats get redundant. If you look at a player that has a high HR total, lots of RBIs, and solid BA and OBP – you’re automatically also getting a high slugging percentage and high OPS.

Bill
Bill
3 years ago

Haven’t commented much but have been watching at least part of most games this year. Like quite a many of you I am frustrated by Cargo but I’ll take him any day over Parra and Tapia although I haven’t seen enough of Tapia to know him well. Cargo still makes some inning saving and game saving fielding gems while Parra still makes some awful read on balls in the OF. I was happy and a bit surprised that when Wolters… Read more »

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