We’re 82 games into the season. The All-Star Break is just around the corner. It’s a perfect time for a preseason projection “check-in” for RWOers. I’ll be happy to go first.
In early March, I threw out a 76-78 win prediction that was also popular with the various statistical algorithms at that moment. By the time ST was winding down, I downgraded my “official” prediction to 73 wins. My thoughts after ST was that our bad SP might actually be historically bad.
So 82 games in we’re playing at a .427 clip. That equates to 69 wins. Worse than my seemingly pessimistic projection. Looking ahead to the next 80, I see no indication things will get better.