Rox V DBacks, Chance to Win a Series, Beat Their Best

Rox Face Great Young Pitcher – Through Their Own Who is Neither

In the midst of family life I like I am betting a lot of people caught the tail end of Monday night’s battle with Arizona. In the Spring Arizona was compared to the Rox in terms of expectations (only for losing this year), needing to develop great young pitching (the DBacks are ahead on that count), and needing their best player to be an MVP to even be competitive (Goldy v Tulo). Four games ago both teams were 8-7. The DBacks however are doing what the Rox did vs. the Padres, start losing games they could win at home.

It is interesting to note that the DBacks have only a 4 game losing streak. The reason it is not 5, and the reason they doubt very often it will ever get to 5 the next few years if Archie Bradley becomes what they think he will. Bradley, a very protected special arm for the DBacks, has been excellent this year, thanks to a low-to-mid 90s 4 seamer that a lot of folks beat into the ground, and one of the best curves I have seen in a while. A real 12-6. He is just 22, so this young arm could be at the top of the DBacks rotation for a long time to come. A lot like Clayton Kershaw when he was young, the only big issue for Bradely so far is walked. Through 18 innings he has 11 of them, matched up against 12Ks. He goes 6 IP each night (again, thinking of his as a long-term asset), and in the 3 game he went, he allowed 1,4, and 2 hits. That folks is a very special start to his permanent Major League career, and a big challenge for the Rox on Tuesday night. On the plus side, just like we have seen with Butler and Matzek, all those walks means that his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) ERA 3.72. So, if they can avoid rolling over to 2nd and starting a double-play (you know who you are), they might be able to score some runs. Surely they got a look at him in Spring Training, but the value of those ABs is very low. Will be interested to see if they can crack his shell.

Opposing him is Kyle Kendrick, about whom none of the above can be said. When he has been good he has been 3rd starter good. When he has been bad he has been a real bullpen destroyed (hey, great nicknamed, Kyle “the Bullpen Destroyer” Kendrick). Prone to the homer this could be a very difficult game as the BOB is very homer prone. Even when roof is closed. Kendrick will have to be precise. The good news is the DBacks don’t have a group of killer lefties. The bad news, when Kendrick has been bad righties have hit him just as hard.

The Rox offense has not had a real break-out game other than opening day. This doesn’t look like the first one, but then again, who thought teams would put up big numbers against Kershaw and Baumgarner in individual starts this year. That is why we play this wonderful game, because every pitch, if excellent or poor, can be a game changer. And everyone makes mistakes.

The bullpen had an off-day on Sunday, but after burning up Brown and Axford as well as probably Betencourt, if the game is close, who will close? Could Tuesday be our first Rendon sighting? The tension and intrigue in an ordinary Tuesday night game between two teams not well thought of playing baseball in one of those states MLB doesn’t know exists. I love baseball, where each game has its own drama, even a game in April

Rockies Diamondbacks

CF Charlie Blackmon                 CF Pollack

LF Corey Dickerson                    SS Owings

SS Tulowitzki                               1B Goldschmidt

1B Morneau                                  RF Trumbo

3B Arenado                                   LF Peralta

RF Gonzalez                                 3B Thomas

C Hundley                                     2B Hill

2B LeMahieu                                  C Gosewisch

P Kendrick                                       P Bradley

[sac_happens]

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sdcarp
sdcarp
5 years ago
Reply to  Agbayani

Sucks, sucks, sucks. This will not end well short term.

Ag – you better sit down and restrain yourself – Chris Martin is pitching damn well for the Yankees.

Gary
Gary
5 years ago
Reply to  sdcarp

Rob Scahill 0.00 ERA for Pirates thru numerous appearances.

Bob K.
Bob K.
5 years ago
Reply to  Gary

Scahill may have a 0.00 ERA but he has been used in the ninth inning at least 2 times that I know of and has given up runs (possibly inherited runners). In the first case he got one out and then let the walkoff run score preventing him from giving up anymore runs. In the second case he gave up an insurance run in the top of the ninth and the Pirates lost both of those games. You should be… Read more »

rockymountainhigh
Admin
rockymountainhigh
5 years ago

a snippet from chat which I think is very true:

rmh: I fear longest win streak this year will be four as long as Kendrick keeps stopping win streak.

Prog: no traction in the rotation

Julie G
Julie G
5 years ago

7 pitches, 3 runs in the first. That is all you have to know:-(

sdcarp
sdcarp
5 years ago

Jon Gray 17 2/3 IP, 10.70 ERA, 8 walks, 17Ks at ABQ. My fear with Gray (and I definitely don’t know this for fact) is that he’s losing command of his FB as he try’s to learn secondary pitches. It’s rare to find someone that can throw an “easy” 98 mph. These rare guys should (in my opinion) should focus on their gift and learn how to command the FB. Gray could be to 2015’s version of Dellin Betances (2014)… Read more »

Agbayani
Agbayani
5 years ago

carp, I agree with you — Gray should probably be moved to the pen to try to simplify things and establish himself. There’s a strange dynamic though in MLB today: a fear that a young gun like him might actually be very successful as a reliever, and that there will be intense pressure on team management to resist trying to convert that guy back to starting. Aroldis Chapman: plan was to move him to starter, abandoned quickly (and Chapman suddenly… Read more »

Julian
Julian
5 years ago

And McHugh went 6 innings last night for the Astros and gave up just 3 runs. His ERA is 2.92. It’s so frustrating. We can’t find a decent starter even when we have one on our roster. You can’t win without pitching. And it’s hard to see where help for our starting pitching will come from internally in the short term. Gray and Bettis aren’t doing well in AAA. Hopefully, they’ll come around, but they aren’t the short term answer.… Read more »

Agbayani
Agbayani
5 years ago

For those wanting to dump Kendrick already: this is what the Rox signed up for. Some months in his recent history: July 2014: 35 IP, 6.94 ERA Full 2nd half 2013: 57 IP, 6.91 ERA And you’ll find partial season stats like that in every year he’s pitched. That’s what you get with a marginal/5th starter. Of course, really good pitchers have months like that, but they offset them with really good other months, whereas Kendrick only partially offsets them… Read more »

Julian
Julian
5 years ago

I think that I’d take a month of a 6.94 ERA if it came with 35 IP. That seems like a pretty good number of innings in a month.

Pooter
Pooter
5 years ago

How is Barnes doing in AAA?

Julian
Julian
5 years ago

Barnes isn’t doing great.

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