Colorado Rockies have played enough games that we can pretty much project what happens during the game. First and foremost, if the bullpen has to pick up four or more innings they are virtually guaranteed to give up multiple runs. DonnyDinger wrote an excellent article breaking down the bullpen stats. In a nutshell, the article states that the starting pitchers need to go deeper into the games to decrease the odds of bullpen giving up multiple runs. It helps if at least two relief arms can keep the games that they allow a run(s) in 15% or less of their appearances. In a simple scenario, let’s say four relief arms give up at least a run in 25% of their appearances and they are asked to pick up four innings, the odds are it’s virtually a guarantee to give up runs.
The Rockies bullpen has eight blown saves since the ASB, most in the majors. To add to the pain, the starting pitchers are dead last by 30 innings in number of innings pitched over the next worse team. This is why I am obsessed with the BB/9 ratio as too many free passes decrease the amount of innings pitched.
Rockies roll with the same lineup in Sunday’s finale except that Matt Mcbride takes his turn in left field hitting in the eight hole. Fort McKenry gives Nick Hundley a rest today on a hot day. Down on the farm, Alex Balog had a no-hitter through 7.2 innings last night.